The FNDRS Playbook · PB21 · Decision

The sell, build, or hold decision tree

Three questions, three honest answers.

The idea

Three questions, three honest answers.

We ask every founder the same three questions in the first conversation.

The answers usually point to one of three paths.

Timing

The time to start the conversation is now

How far out you feel is not the signal. Buyers read the trailing numbers, so time before a sale is room to move them, not a waiting room. A founder with a number in mind may reach it in one sale or in two: a majority stake now, with equity rolled into the buyer’s company for a second sale later. The sale itself, once you sign, runs in four phases.

Read the exit timing window
The sale, signing to the wire
0–0 months
Prepare
Market
Select
Close

Four phases, for a company that is ready. The conversation can start any time before.

An estimate from past engagements, not a commitment.

The figure

Three questions to one of three paths

Does the market number cover the number you need?

No

Can eighteen to thirty-six months of work close the gap?

Yes

Build

Exit positioning advisory, then the Go-To-Market Analysis (GTMA) before going to market.

No

Hold, or change the number you need

Wealth planning; consider a partial sale or a combination.

Yes

Is the business transferable today?

Yes

Sell

Run a full competitive process.

No

Build, briefly

Six to twelve months of de-risking, then sell. The return on that time is usually the highest a founder will ever earn.

How to read it

A three-question flowchart. Whether the market price covers what the founder needs, whether the gap can be closed in time, and whether the business can run without the founder together point to selling, building first, or holding.

You sell once. They buy for a living.

Every sale of a founder-led business is a negotiation between a first-timer and a professional. Each chapter of the playbook closes part of that gap.

Read the asymmetry

See where your business sits

The Go-To-Market Analysis (GTMA) places your business on these frameworks with your own numbers, before a buyer does.