The FNDRS Playbook · PB18 · Structure
An earn-out you cannot control is a price cut with extra steps.
The idea
Earn-outs bridge a valuation gap. They are reasonable when the founder stays in a role that influences the result and when the metric is one the buyer cannot easily manipulate.
They are dangerous when the founder leaves at close and the metric is EBITDA under the buyer’s accounting.
You sell once. They buy for a living.
Every sale of a founder-led business is a negotiation between a first-timer and a professional. Each chapter of the playbook closes part of that gap.
Read the asymmetryThe figure
You can steer, but the metric can be gamed.
What to do Define the accounting rules in the agreement; cap integration charges.
A revenue- or unit-based metric, and you stay to deliver it.
What to do Accept, with a clear formula and a short horizon.
No control and a metric that can be gamed.
What to do Convert it to price, a seller note, or escrow.
An objective metric, but no influence.
What to do Keep it a minor part of the stack; get acceleration on a change of control.
How to read it
Earn-outs are sorted by whether the founder stays in a position to influence the result (vertical) and whether the buyer can easily influence the metric (horizontal). The only clearly fair earn-out is one the founder can deliver on a metric the buyer cannot game.
The three P’s
This chapter supports the three levers rather than pulling one of them.
Which category. Where in the range.
Find it first. Frame it first.
Competition. Timing. Leverage.
What you keep.
The Go-To-Market Analysis (GTMA) places your business on these frameworks with your own numbers, before a buyer does.